NCAA Tourney Wrap-up

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Previous Posts: Likelihood of Winning, Game by Game, First Round, Second Round (Day 1), Second Round (Day 2), Third Round (Day 1), Third Round (Day 2), Calibration, Sweet Sixteen, Elite Eight, Final Four

The NCAA predictions were well calibrated. We had an average likleihood of victory over the 67 games of 71% for the favored team. That team won 69% of the games. This is the chart you want to see for anyone who does predictions. It shows the predictions bucketed together and the percent that came true: